American Aml Great Barrier Agains Terrorism
CIA Director Burns subsequently went to Moscow to try and intimidate Putin into revoking troop buildup on Ukrainian border
[Russell Bentley, a Texan and author of this article, served in the Donbass regular army. His motivation was to fight fascism; he envisioned himself every bit an heir to members of the Abraham Lincoln Brigade who volunteered to fight fascism in Spain during the Spanish Civil State of war.
In part one, Bentley'south provides an assessment of the current tensions in the Ukraine and the character of the authorities. Ranked equally ane of the most corrupt governments in the world, it is a monstrous creation of the U.S. empire guilty of large-scale state of war crimes.
In role two, Bentley discusses three potential military options for Russian federation. CAM's position on this conflict is to endorse the Minsk protocol, which focuses on a diplomatic settlement that offers the Eastern Ukrainian provinces considerable autonomy and could help defuse tensions in the region.
The 3rd armed services option discussed by Bentley—the Kyiv plan which would entail a Russian march on Kyiv—has three main dangers: a) Ukrainian rightists and nationalists would mobilize against the Russians and pro-Russian forces, prompting a prolonged and devastating state of war that could be a quagmire for Russia (rather than a cakewalk, every bit Bentley suggests); b) a Russian invasion would potentially ignite World War III by drawing in the U.S. and NATO; and c) it could even pb to the advent of nuclear war.
Russian President Vladimir Putin appears to be conscious of these dangers and intent on restraining hawkish elements within the Russian military—a adept thing. At the aforementioned time, he has made information technology clear that Russia volition defend its interests and not be pushed around.—Editors]
Part i
On October eighteenth, U.South. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin Iii met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to affirm U.Due south. support for Ukraine'southward war against its eastern provinces.
Since the beginning of the conflict in 2014, the Usa has provided more than $2.five billion in security assist to Ukraine, including $275 meg in war machine aid that has been announced in the last 10 months under President Joe Biden, a staunch champion of the war from its inception.
In early November, President Biden dispatched CIA Director William F. Burns to Moscow to warn the Kremlin about its troop buildup on the Ukraine border and to try and force it to back off. Secretary of State Antony Blinken followed up this past week by threatening Russia farther in a joint press conference in Washington with the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba.
Ukraine, however, started the war following the Feb 2014 U.Southward. backed insurrection and carried out sustained war crimes.
These crimes include: a) the recent kidnapping and torture of a Russian armistice monitor in Lugansk; b) a contempo set on on Staromaryevka, a settlement of 180 civilians in the de-militarized "Grey Zone," which included the kidnapping of 8 more unarmed civilians (who were besides Russian citizens) by neo-Nazi terrorists; and c) the utilise of a Turkish Bayraktar set on drone against Donbass defense forces.
All this is in addition to the repeated shelling of noncombatant areas and infrastructure along with a hardening of state of war rhetoric past the Kyiv regime—with U.S. backing.
Readying for War
The main hope for a diplomatic solution to the conflict in Ukraine lies with the Minsk peace accords—which includes a provision that would let for considerable autonomy for the eastern provinces. Predictably, the U.S. and Ukraine take shown little interest in adhering to the Minsk accords.
A no-fly zone is currently existence enforced by Russia in the airspace over the Donbass Republic. Russia cannot recognize the Donetsk Republic because it would invite further U.S. sanctions and efforts at political isolation; the Donetsk Commonwealth is considered to exist a renegade and the U.S. wants Russia to stay out of the war.
All armed forces units of the DPR are currently on full combat alarm. News reports and videos have appeared with Russian armor, including "hundreds" of heavy gainsay vehicles, and 80,000 to ninety,000 troops, moving toward the Ukrainian border from the Bryansk, Voronezh and Rostov armed forces districts. They are stationed at Novy Yerkovich—a 4-hour (250 km) drive to Kyiv—and along the border near Kharkov, which lies a scant thirty kilometers from Russia'south border.
The troop buildup indicates that Russia is prepared to defend the Donbass region, which consists of near a million Russian citizens, and to potentially go further and liberate the part of Ukraine populated primarily by ethnic and Russian-speaking Russians.
The U.South./European union/NATO and Ukraine accept all been pretending since 2014 that "Russian federation invaded Ukraine"—which it never did, though Ukrainian provocations make it more than likely that information technology soon will.
The state of war in Ukraine is not a Ukrainian civil war, nor is it a state of war between Russians and Ukrainians.
Information technology is a war by resurgent international neo-Nazism, led by the USA against a people fighting for their autonomy backed by a reinvigorated Bully Ability, Russia, which wants to expand its regional influence and counteract a legitimate security threat on its edge.
World Wink Point
The fight in Donbass is i of the major world's flash points aslope Syria and Taiwan—where U.S. provocations threaten a major state of war with China.
If the West forces a war machine confrontation with Russian federation in Ukraine, it can be certain it will face up 1 with China over Taiwan simultaneously, neither of which it has any chance of winning. The Russians and Chinese accept forged a partnership against Western, primarily U.S. assailment in the political, economic, and war machine spheres.
In Syrian arab republic, the Turks (a NATO fellow member) accept in recent days directly threatened Russian war machine installations and troops; Should they really bear out attacks on Russians in Syria, Russia has made articulate it volition fire back. Turkish troops are at present also on the ground in Ukraine, involved in gainsay operations against Donbass Defense Forces. This too, is a major and contempo escalation.
Russia Prepares Its Saddle
But information technology is in Donbass that the situation is the most incendiary. In response to recent Ukrainian provocations and acts of terrorism, Russia is again sending a military machine task strength to its edge with Ukraine, as it did in the spring of this year, which stopped the planned U.Due south./Ukrainian offensive in its tracks.
Afterward the offensive was scrubbed and the state of affairs de-escalated, the Russian troops withdrew from the border, but at present over again accept returned. This time, indications are that the Russian formations are preparing to, at minimum, come up into Donbass equally peacekeepers, and possibly go as far as Kharkov and Odessa every bit Liberators. Maybe fifty-fifty to Kyiv.
As the recent words of Putin, Lavrov, Medvedev and others accept made articulate, the Russians have at present decided that the time for talking is over. There is an erstwhile saying about Russians that applies perfectly well to the current situation—"The Russians are slow to saddle their horses, but when they do, they ride very, very fast."
Those horses have at present been saddled.
Responsibility to Protect (R2P)
If the Russians were to deepen their involvement in the Ukraine, they would not exist doing anything the U.S. and NATO have not done themselves on more than than one occasion.
Russia not only has therightto protect its citizens, information technology has the responsibility to do then, under international constabulary.
The "R2P" or "Responsibility to Protect" concept is based on three "pillars" –
Pillar I—Each individual state has the responsibility to protect its population from genocide, war crimes, indigenous cleansing, and crimes confronting humanity.
Pillar II—"States pledge to aid each other in their protection responsibilities."
Pillar Iii—If any state is "obviously declining" in its protection responsibilities, and then states should take collective activity to protect the population" in a "timely and decisive response."
The UN Security Council has recognized and reaffirmed its commitment to the R2P in more than 80 resolutions. R2P as such has the force of international law.
The flip side of R2P is that it has been used as an excuse by the nigh powerful countries for international state of war crimes and has resulted in the trampling of land sovereignty.
One of the requirements of R2P is a United nations Security Quango resolution approval its implementation. Though this will never happen in the example of Ukraine, in that location can be no doubt that Ukraine is, in fact, guilty of all the crimes that R2P was created to forbid, including a) war crimes, b) indigenous cleansing, and c) crimes against humanity, all of which have been, and keep to exist, committed by the Kyiv regime and its military machine on a daily basis.
Russian intervention as such could exist justified nether the R2P doctrine–though it is unlikely any NATO countries would acknowledge this.
Who Volition Cease the Crimes Against Humanity?
The list of Kyiv's war crimes under international law include: a) denial of water to almost ii.five meg civilians in Crimea, b) the intentional targeting of civilians, journalists and medical personnel by arms and snipers, c) random terror attacks on civilian areas, d) kidnapping, e) rape, f) torture and g) murder.
The Russians have over 2,000 specific war crimes cases open against the Kyiv authorities and its proxies, and more than are being opened daily. Even the USA has opened war crimes investigations into at least 7 U.Due south. citizens who fought on the Kyiv side in the war.
These investigations into kidnapping, torture, rape, and murder are based on bystander, and video and forensic evidence. It will exist the commencement time the U.S. has prosecuted anyone nether the War Crimes Act since its passage into law in 1996, a quarter century ago.
The Ukrainian armed forces has as of this writing massacred at least x,000 ethnic Russian civilians. Some were killed in house-to-house searches of civilian homes by paramilitary units wearing Nazi insignia on their uniforms. The Gestapo-like forces were searching for DPR and Russian passports and kidnapped those who had them.
The Russians cannot just stand by and allow this to happen. And neither should Americans.
Western intellectuals have been quick to invoke R2P to back up the bombing of Libya and Syria and a host of other Middle Eastward countries equally a cover for U.S. aggression. But how many will invoke the aforementioned doctrine when information technology can exist practical to actually save people from big-scale indigenous cleansing and crimes against humanity—if Russia is the i doing the saving? Likely none.
Part two: 3 Options for Russia
The way I see it, Russia currently has three chief options:
ane) The Donbass Plan—The Russian Army tin whorl into Donbass as peacekeepers, along the current contact line from North of Lugansk to Mariupol, after publicly announcing it to the world a few hours alee of time, in social club to warn the Ukrainian armed services against resistance, and to explicate and justify its humanitarian intervention to the "international community." They would announce that they come in peace to finish the war crimes and the war, merely that any military resistance from whatsoever source volition be instantly eliminated, with the warning, "If yous shoot at united states of america, you lot die."
This ultimatum would exist non-negotiable and backed up by Russian federation's full war machine power, including air and missile forces, and applied not only to Ukrainian war machine units, merely to U.S. and NATO troops in Ukraine and U.S. and NATO ships in the Blackness Sea, as well as anywhere else. It can and should likewise include a reminder of Putin'southward previous quote that"Russia will reply to any assault past the devastation not just of the source of the attack, but besides the source of the orders for the assault."
This selection would stop all terrorist attacks against Donbass, permanently and completely, and would hopefully requite time for a diplomatic solution based on new political realities to be found. It would likewise not entail the taking of any territory nether Ukraine control, only that which has long been declared nether "Russian occupation".
Once it is seen that the Russians actuallyare coming, and they reallydo mean business, it is unlikely that the Americans, NATO, or the Ukrainians will fire a shot. This is the to the lowest degree confrontational and least risky arroyo, as it could be achieved in a matter of 24 hours, with minimal bloodshed.
This may seem to exist a pragmatic solution, but information technology has the least chance of finding a political compromise or permanent solution, in either the short or long terms. And while it would terminate war crimes and protect Russian citizens, it would fail to resolve the overriding geopolitical problems Russia faces in Ukraine—belligerent state of war criminals on Russia's borders, the disquisitional Crimean water security upshot, foreign enemies in control of a neighboring state, etc. I advantage to this plan, however, is that could be used as a first phase of the Novorussia Plan.
2) The 2nd option is The Novorussia Programme. Under this plan, the Russians can liberate the expanse known as Novorussia, about one tertiary of current Ukraine, with majority ethnic Russian populations, running forth a line from Kharkov to Odessa (inclusive). This non only protects the vast bulk of indigenous Russians (not merely those in Donbass) from Ukrainian depredations, information technology solves the disquisitional humanitarian water crisis in Crimea, and cuts Ukraine completely off from the Black Bounding main. This will likewise eviscerate all that is left of the Ukrainian economy and begin the process of the dismantling of Ukraine along indigenous lines while eliminating it as a land and as a threat to Russia one time and for all.
It will likewise serve as an example to the world of the new political reality that Russia reserves the right to defend itself, unilaterally, if need exist, and that the nation with the almost powerful military in the world also has the political will to use it, if information technology has no other choice and if it is forced to defend itself. This scenario has the best hope of long-term stability for the region, and fifty-fifty the possibility of a future re-integration of some parts of fundamental Ukraine with Novorussia.
Unfortunately, the vast bulk of war criminals would probably escape to the West, at least for a while.
3) The third programme, the Kyiv Plan, would be to go to Kyiv, which may or may not involve engaging in a major war. In the all-time case scenario for Russian federation, the U.S. and NATO would desert Ukraine in the confront of a existent fight and leave them on their own. Even if Ukraine did not capitulate in the outset few hours, whatsoever bodily conflict could be finished in a few days, and the procedure of de-Nazification and war crime trials could begin. In an alternative scenario, the U.S. and NATO would launch air strikes and the state of war could devolve into a quagmire for Russia, with the gamble of nuclear war intensifying.
My belief is that the issue of the open up combat stage of the war would exist forth the lines of the First Iraq State of war, (with 80% – 90% of Ukrainian soldiers surrendering without firing a shot) simply the subsequent "occupation" would really be a existent liberation. With the removal of neo-Nazis and corrupt oligarchs from positions of ability, and the improvement of life quality and life chances for a vast bulk of the population, most Ukrainians (with the exception of the rabid fascists in Galicia or Poland) will meet the Russian Army as their grandparents saw the Red Regular army, equally heroes and liberators from foreign occupation—which is exactly what they would be.
This may be the least viable and least bonny of the three scenarios, but it is an option, and it would accept the required effect of stopping the state of war crimes against Russian citizens and eliminating Ukraine every bit an existential threat right on Russia'due south doorstep. It would likewise have the benefit of the capture a large percentage of state of war criminals (Ukrainian and otherwise) besides as documents and show that might be of nifty interest to history, Russia and the earth—an pick worthy of serious consideration.
Of all three of these plans, the 2nd, the Novorussia Plan has the most benefit at the least cost. Just going to the contact line in Donbass is non sufficient to resolve the festering Ukrainian problem, and going all the manner to Kyiv may well cost more information technology is worth. The Novorussia Plan resolves all critical issues at an acceptable cost, and can be implemented, if demand be, as a second stage of the Donbass Plan.
With the Voronezh troops coming in through (or around) Kharkov, Airborne and amphibious troops landing in (or around) Odessa, the Rostov Army coming upward through Donbass, and the Crimean Army and Black Sea Fleet working forth the coast, along with the Bryansk Army waiting in reserve and ready to take Kyiv if required, the 700 Km Front, running from Kharkov to Odessa could be formed and held in a affair of days.
One time Russian fuel and human aid first to period to liberated Novorussia, grateful citizens will not just not oppose Russian "occupation," they will back up it equally genuine liberation, and even be ready to defend it themselves from the common cold and hungry Ukrainians who will be begging to exist immune to immigrate to Novorussia.
Incorrigible Nazis and state of war criminals volition exist rounded upwards, tried, and sentenced to work battalions in Donbass, to repair every single matter destroyed or damaged in the war, including the monument at Saur Mogila and all monuments to the Red Army Liberators in the newly liberated lands of Novorussia. The majority of Russian soldiers volition speedily be costless to return to Russia, and leave the administration and protection of the newly liberated lands to their inhabitants.
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Russians visiting Saur Mogila memorial to cherry Army soldiers who liberated Donetsk from the Nazis in World War I. [Source: inthefray.org] -
Separatist flags fly over ruins. [Source: inthefray.org]
Vladimir Putin has more than than one time recounted a lesson that he learned as a youth on the tough streets of Leningrad."If the fight is inevitable, it is best to strike first."
If state of war indeed breaks out, the principal responsibility would rest with the U.S. which triggered the current mess through its sponsorship of the Feb 2014 coup in Ukraine and gave a green-light for Ukraine to attack its Eastern provinces.
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Most the Writer
Russell Bentley is a onetime Texan who holds passports from Russia, the The states and the Donetsk People'south Republic.
Russell came to Donbass in 2014 and served in the VOSTOK Battalion and XAH Spetsnaz Battalion through 2015.
He then transitioned into the Information War, every bit a writer and video reporter, countering Western propaganda about the situation in Ukraine and Donbass.
He currently works every bit an accredited war correspondent in the DPR, is married and lives in a minor house with a large garden, five Km from the frontline in the ongoing Donbass War.
Russell can be reached at: russellbbentley@gmail.com.
Source: https://covertactionmagazine.com/2021/11/12/is-biden-looking-to-reignite-a-dirty-war-in-ukraine-recent-visit-by-u-s-defense-secretary-lloyd-austin-raises-concerns/
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